FSO Editorials: "Agri-Food Thoughts" by Ned Schmidt 12/26/2007

FSO Editorials

AGRI-FOOD THOUGHTS
by Ned W. Schmidt, CFA, CEBS
Schmidt Management Company
December 26, 2007

With the demise of 2007, investors are looking to a new year and new opportunities. Some investors continue to hope collapse of housing and financial sectors will suddenly be reversed. Market strategists have called how many bottoms in housing sector? Which U.S. financial giant will be next to sell out to a foreign investor? Bubbles, or market sectors, do not reinflate, or reemerge. As shrewd investors move on to next stock market leadership, Agri-Food sector will be an obvious play. Growth fundamentals for Agri-Foods are apparent from investment returns being generated. Just plain U.S. dirt, like that which grows soybeans, has produced a ten year return of almost 9% versus a paltry 5% for U.S. equities. In Argentina, farmland values have risen by 50%. So, how is your C, FNM, and CFC doing?

This week's chart portrays the price performance of Agri-Food base commodities versus U.S. equities. Fundamental strength of the Agri-Food industry is demonstrated by these results. Participants and companies involved in Agri-Foods, around the globe, are benefiting from new reality of growing demand and inelastic supply. While grain prices may be less robust in 2008, new paradigm in Agri-Foods can not be ignored. It is a structural investment opportunity. So, turn the sound off when the cable media starts talking about the drivel known as today's economic data release or whether some withering financial stock will recover. Spend your time researching the bull cycle in Agri-Foods, the investment theme for the next decade.

AGRI-FOOD THOUGHTS are from Ned W. Schmidt,CFA,CEBS, publisher of Agri-Food Value View, a monthly exploration of the Agri-Food grand cycle being created by China, India, and Eco-energy. To review a recent issue write to agrifoodvalueview@earthlink.net. Ned will be exploring the Agri-Food cycle at The Wealth Expo in NYC, 19-21 October. For information go to www.wealthexpo.net

Please remember that no method is perfect nor is the one running the model.
All estimated returns are for the model portfolio and do not reflect those earned on actual portfolios.