Is the Four Year Cycle Top In?
by Ron Griess
Proprietor, The Chart Store
www.thechartstore.com
January 24, 2006

We have been following a reverse analog chart of the S&P 500 Composite for over a year. As early as September, 2005, our subscribers were told the time cycle high was projected to be the Week of January 13, 2006.

The calculations in the following chart are based on close only through 1961, and then high or low thereafter. This is the second longest time period, measured in trading days, that the S&P Composite has gone without a 10% correction.

The next two charts represent our best guess of the "Four Year Cycle" on the S&P Composite.

The following table presents the high to low portion of the "Four Year Cycle" completed since 1953. Shown are the date and price at each high and low, the percentage change from high to low and the number of intervening 10% swings between the high and the low.

© 2006 Ron Griess
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