Paul L Kasriel – Northern Trust
Sr. Vice President & Director of Economic Research, The Northern Trust Company & Guest Contributor
MONTHLY ARCHIVED ARTICLES
07/30/2009 I Come Neither to Praise Nor to Bury Bernanke
09/15/2008 Time for FOMC Hawks to Eat Crow
04/18/2008 Japanese consumer confidence flickers
03/13/2008 Why Did the Fed Raise Rates in October 1931?
02/04/2008 Recession Now - Putting Our Forecast Where Our Mouth Has Been
DAILY ARCHIVED ARTICLES
08/04/2009 June Pending Home Sales – More Evidence that the Trough in Sales Is Behind Us
07/31/1009 Second-Quarter GDP – The Parachute Has Opened
03/31/2009 What's the Difference Between Maddoff and Social Security?
12/10/2008 The Credit Rating on a Benevolent Counterfeiter’s Debt – Infinity A?
07/17/2008 Retail Sales – What a Difference a Deflator Makes
06/27/2008 Current Growth in Money and Credit Aggregates Not Fueling Inflation
06/23/2008 Another Blow to Household Cash Flow
04/29/2008 $536 Billion Worth of Household Assets Evaporated in February?
04/28/2008 The Fed Is Shedding Treasuries at an Annualized Rate of $601 Billion
04/07/2008 Did Greenspan Have to Cut the Fed Funds Rate as Much?
04/03/2008 Ring-Fence the Bad Assets - Re-Arranging the Deck Chairs on the Titanic?
03/27/2008 A Profits Recession
03/26/2008 The Bell Curve of Doom? - The Case-Shiller Home Price Index
03/24/2008 It’s So Over for Household Spending
03/20/2008 Wall St. Rallies on Philly Fed Reading
03/17/2008 There Should Be a Quid Pro Quo between the Fed and Financial Institutions
02/22/2008 Is This Your Daddy's Stagflation?
02/11/2008 Alm's for the Poor?
01/25/2008 Week in Review: Central Bank Policies
12/19/2007 Gross Financial Investments vs. Net Financial Investments
12/17/2007 I Have a Lot of Problems With You People!
11/19/2007 The Energizer Bunny Is In Dire Need of a Battery Re-Charge
10/15/2007 No Recession in Sight: If You Are Nearsighted
09/17/2007 Growth Recession Now, The Real Deal Tomorrow?
09/12/2007 Is Mishkin Mishuga About Asymmetric Monetary Policy Responses?
08/29/2007 The Result of 35 Years of a Paper Global Monetary System
08/24/2007 There's No Such Thing as a Free Bailout
08/13/2007 Wall Street and Main Street are Joined at the Hip
08/07/2007 Growth in Domestic Private Final Demand: It's Falling - Can it Get Up?
07/24/2007 Wealth Effect or Borrowing/Asset Sales Effect?
07/10/2007 Second Quarter Rebound, Third Quarter Relapse, Fourth Quarter Rate Cut?
06/05/2007 The More The Fed Delays Cutting, the More We Cut - Our GDP Forecast
05/30/2007 Gene Epstein's Great American Savings (SIC) Myth
05/25/2007 Waiting for Godot and Predicted Supply-Side Results
05/14/2007 The Rest of the World is Going to Rejuvenate the U.S. Economy?
04/22/2007 LEI and KWRI - It's Different This Time?
04/13/2007 Yes, the FOMC Is Predominantly Concerned About Inflation, But...
04/10/2007 When the Facts Change, I Change My Model...
03/22/2007 Recession Imminent? Both the LEI and KRWI Are Flashing Warning
03/16/2007 The Inverted Yield Curve: Is it Really Different this Time?
03/13/2007 Three Quarters of Below: Potential Growth and Counting
02/07/2007 The Fed Probably Thinks It Is on Hold for All of 2007
01/09/2007 Want to Improve Your Economic Forecasting?
12/15/2006 Festivus Flow-of-Funds Stocking Stuffers
12/12/2006 Goods-Producing Sectors Are Where The Action Is
12/08/2006 What has the Fed Usually Done in this Situation?
12/05/2006 The "Carry" Trade in U.S. Housing Looks to be Over
Paul L. Kasriel is senior vice president and director of economic research at Northern Trust. His economic analysis and financial market commentaries, written in his straightforward and often non-consensus style, have won a loyal following in the financial community.
Mr. Kasriel has been named the 2006 Recipient of the Lawrence R. Klein Award / Blue Chip Forecast Accuracy for 2002 through 2005. Read More