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Today's WrapUp by Ike Iossif 02.14.2006  Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Archive


WEEKLY CHARTS


DJIA: Weekly support at 10650/10600, and at 10500; resistance at 11050.


DJTI: Weekly support at 4250 and 4000; resistance at 4400.


SP500: Weekly support at 1250/46, resistance at 1295/1300.


NASDAQ: Weekly resistance at 2350, support at 2230 and at 2200.


HUI: Weekly support at 300, 275 and at 250; resistance at 350.

OIL: Weekly resistance at $68.75 and $72; support at $62.25 and $59.5. If support at $62.25 holds, and it reverses to the upside, within 6 weeks it will reach $78.

The Thrust Oscillators are at the bottom of their range and they have turned up, which means NASDAQ and the SP can move modestly higher for the first part of the week.


The trend is DOWN for NASDAQ.

  
The trend is DOWN for SP.

SUMMARY

February 3 we said, "Last week we presented you with 2 possible scenarios for the next 5-10 trading days. In comparing the actual price action to the one forecasted by our probability models, it certainly looks that scenario #1 is unfolding. However, we want to caution that it would take a daily close below 2240 by  NASDAQ, and a daily close below 1258 by the SP500 for confirmation. Unless, we get confirmation, scenario #2 is still alive.

This week, all major indices were able to stay above support, while most of the indicators stabilized around their respective zero lines, and some have even turned up. Under these circumstances the odds are usually better than even in favor of a modest advance lasting between 1-3 days, followed by another decline back down to support. Therefore, for this week we will be looking for signs of modest strength early on to give way to weakness by the end of the week. Also please see Market Timing.

Support and Resistance Levels to Watch For

  DJIA SP500 NASDAQ
2nd Upside Target 11500 1340 2400
1st Upside Target 11250 1315 2375
Resistance 11100 1300 2350
Support 10600 1250-1245 2200
1st Downside Target 10500 1230 2120
2nd Downside Target 10380 1200 2050

 

Market Timing Indicators

Indicator Focus NASDAQ
Signal
NASDAQ
Position
SP500
Signal
SP500
Position
Thrust Oscillator Mkt Direction SELL CASH SELL CASH
10/20 day TI Mkt Direction NEUTRAL CASH NEUTRAL CASH

Ike Iossif


Copyright © 2006 All rights reserved.

Ike Iossif
President & CIO Aegean Capital Group, Inc. &
Executive Producer MarketViews.tv


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