Market Observations with Chris Puplava

Chris Puplava Economic Reports

By Chris Puplava, December 21, 2005

Several economic reports came out today, with the final revision of the third quarter GDP being revised downward from 4.3% to 4.1%, mainly reflecting a downward revision in auto spending.

Quarter-over- quarter
Source: Econoday, www.econoday.com

A third quarter GDP growth rate of 4.1% suggests that the economy is still going strong as supported by the release of corporate profits by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). After-tax profits for the third quarter rose 35.9% relative to third quarter 2004. The Commerce Department said hurricane damage reduced corporate profits by $165.3 billion in the third quarter, reflecting benefits paid by domestic insurance companies and uninsured losses on corporate property.

Aftertax: Level and Yearly Change
Source: Econoday

In other news, crude oil inventories were released today with crude oil stocks rising 1.3 million to 322.5 million barrels while stocks of gasoline and distillates fell as refinery production dipped back down. Gasoline stocks were down 0.3 million to 204.1 million with distillates down 2.8 million to 127.7 million. Refinery capacity was down this week at 88.0% of capacity.

Crude Oil Inventories
Source: Econoday

On the demand side, demand for gasoline is currently at 1.3% above last year, although demand for distillates is up 3.2% over last year, likely reflecting the cold weather in the Midwest and Northeast.

The Dow was up today, rising 28.18 points to close at 10833.73, while the other major indexes were up as well. The NASDAQ was up 9.24 points to close at 2231.66 while the S&P 500 was up 3.21 points to close at 1262.83.

Index Summary

Index Price Price
Change
Today's
% Price
Change
Week To Date
% Price
Change
1 Month
% Price
Change
Dow Jones Industrial Avg. 10,828.36 22.81 0.2% -0.4% 0.6%
S&P Dep. Receipts 125.98 0.15 0.1% -0.5% 0.7%
Nasdaq Composite Index 2,230.19 7.77 0.3% -1.0% 0.1%
Nasdaq 100 Trust 41.10 0.15 0.4% -1.2% -0.8%
Dow Jones Transportation Avg. 4,191.74 88.62 2.2% 1.2% 1.2%
Dow Jones Utility Avg. 408.42 -4.80 -1.2% -2.2% 3.0%
Inter@ctive Internet Index 177.24 0.26 0.1% -1.6% 0.5%

Sector Summary

Description Last
Price
Price
Change
Today's
% Price
Change
Week To Date
% Price
Change
1 Month
% Price
Change
Basic Materials 1,302,924 20,573

1.6%

1.2%

3.1%
Capital Goods 696,490 2,736 0.4% -0.8% 2.4%
Conglomerates 823,463 -2,062

-0.2%

-1.0%

1.1%
Consumer Cyclical 807,826 5,757 0.7% 0.4% 0.5%
Consumer/Non-Cyclical 1,336,196 4,034

0.3%

-0.5%

2.0%
Energy 2,626,534 3,740 0.1% 0.0% 1.3%
Financial 4,993,195 22,578

0.5%

0.0%

1.7%
Healthcare 2,340,249 4,624 0.2% 0.3% 1.7%
Services 4,557,466 9,039

0.2%

1.5%

0.1%
Technology 3,159,183 11,245 0.4% -0.7% 0.9%
Transportation 397,355 7,381

1.9%

0.5%

1.7%
Utilities 904,928 -4,502 -0.5% -1.1% 3.4%

Have a pleasant weekend,

Chris Puplava

© 2005 Chris Puplava

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